Archive for February, 2009

 

Citigroup Gets Third Bailout as Government Plans to Raise Stake

2009-02-27 12:07:31.137 GMT

By Bradley Keoun and Rebecca Christie

 

     Feb. 27 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. government will raise its stake in Citigroup Inc. in the third attempt to rescue what was once the world’s biggest financial institution.

     The plan will involve the Treasury Department converting as much as $25 billion of preferred shares into common stock, the Treasury Department said in a statement today. The government said it will make the swaps only if private holders agree to the same terms. The U.S. doesn’t immediately intend to inject additional money after channeling $45 billion to the New York- based company last year.

     “This gradual step-by-step process doesn’t work, or has not worked so far,” said Marino Valensise, chief investment officer of London-based Baring Asset Management Ltd., who helps oversee about $30 billion for clients.

     Citigroup Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit is trying to bolster confidence after his bank’s stock sank to $1.95 last week — the lowest price in 18 years. The government is supporting the company, which had 200 million customer accounts in more than 100 countries at the end of last year, because of concern its failure might roil already weak global markets.

     Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said Feb. 25 he wants to avoid nationalizing Citigroup and other large banks in a way that would wipe out shareholders and leave the U.S. in full control. Bernanke said the government might end up owning a “substantial minority” of the bank.

     Citigroup rose 3 cents to $2.49 in German trading today before the announcement. The stock plummeted 90 percent during the past 12 months. Only Cincinnati-based Fifth Third Bancorp fell more of 24 companies on the KBW Bank Index.

To contact the reporters on this story:

Bradley Keoun in New York at +1-212-617-2310 or bkeoun@bloomberg.net

Rebecca Christie in Washington at +1-202-654-1273 or Rchristie4@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story:

Alec D.B. McCabe at +1-212-617-4175 or amccabe@bloomberg.net

Chris Anstey at +1-202-624-1972 or canstey@bloomberg.net

 

  Low Mortgage Rates a Mirage as Fees Climb, Eligibility Tightens

2009-02-27 05:00:01.12 GMT

By James Sterngold

 

     Feb. 27 (Bloomberg) — Brian Wickert, a mortgage banker in Butler, Wisconsin, prides himself on screening applicants carefully. That’s why he was stunned when a customer who sailed through four home loans tried to do a refinancing in January, only to be rejected by three national lenders.

     The borrower’s credit standing and income were solid, said Wickert, 47, president of Accunet Mortgage. The problem was that, with home sales plummeting along with prices, the appraiser couldn’t find the required three comparable sales in six months within a one-mile radius.

     “The business has gotten tougher than I’ve seen it,” Wickert said. “The person who has decided he wants to give himself his own personal economic stimulus package by refinancing at low rates is being stymied by the rules and the fees. Too many people are being excluded.”

     Bankers around the country say one reason the housing market hasn’t stabilized is that while mortgage rates have come down, hurdles have gone up. Rising default rates and bank losses have made lenders more risk-averse, leading to higher fees, increased insurance rates and difficulties refinancing loans.

     The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage dropped to 5.07 percent for the week ending Feb. 26 from 6.63 percent for the one ending July 24, according to data compiled by McLean, Virginia-based Freddie Mac. Meanwhile, the percent of mortgage applications that led to closings fell nationwide to 59 percent in the first half of 2008 from 66.3 percent in 2006, the most recent period for which data is available, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported.

To contact the reporter on this story:

James Sterngold in Los Angeles at +1-323-782-4254 or jsterngold2@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:

Alec McCabe at +1-212-617-4175 or amccabe@bloomberg.net

 

  U.S. Economy Shrank 6.2% in Fourth Quarter, Most Since 1982

2009-02-27 13:30:00.513 GMT

By Timothy R. Homan

 

     Feb. 27 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. economy shrank in the fourth quarter at an even faster pace than previously estimated as consumer spending plunged, companies cut inventories and exports sank.

     Gross domestic product contracted at a 6.2 percent annual pace from October through December, more than economists anticipated and the most since 1982, according to revised figures from the Commerce Department today in Washington. Consumer spending, which comprises about 70 percent of the economy, declined at the fastest pace in almost three decades.

     The recession is forecast to persist at least through the first half of this year as job losses mount and purchases plummet.

The Obama administration’s attempts to break the grip of the worst financial crisis in 70 years are unlikely to bring immediate relief as companies from General Motors Corp. to JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut payrolls.

     “The economy really hit the brakes very hard in the fourth quarter,” John Herrmann, president of Herrmann Forecasting LLC in Summit, New Jersey, said before the report. “We’re in a pretty severe, protracted recession. The economy could continue to struggle into 2010.”

     GDP was projected to contract at a 5.4 percent annual pace last quarter, according to the median estimate of 74 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Forecasts ranged from declines of 3.8 percent to 6 percent.

     The 2.4 percentage-point revision was almost five times as large as the average adjustment, Commerce said.

     The world’s largest economy shrank at a 0.5 percent annual rate from July through September. The back-to-back contraction is the first since 1991.

To contact the reporter on this story:

Timothy R. Homan in Washington at +1-202-624-1961 or thoman1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:

Chris Anstey at +1-202-624-1972 or canstey@bloomberg.net

 

  Low Mortgage Rates a Mirage as Fees Climb, Eligibility Tightens

2009-02-27 05:00:01.12 GMT

By James Sterngold

 

     Feb. 27 (Bloomberg) — Brian Wickert, a mortgage banker in Butler, Wisconsin, prides himself on screening applicants carefully. That’s why he was stunned when a customer who sailed through four home loans tried to do a refinancing in January, only to be rejected by three national lenders.

     The borrower’s credit standing and income were solid, said Wickert, 47, president of Accunet Mortgage. The problem was that, with home sales plummeting along with prices, the appraiser couldn’t find the required three comparable sales in six months within a one-mile radius.

     “The business has gotten tougher than I’ve seen it,”

Wickert said. “The person who has decided he wants to give himself his own personal economic stimulus package by refinancing at low rates is being stymied by the rules and the fees. Too many people are being excluded.”

     Bankers around the country say one reason the housing market hasn’t stabilized is that while mortgage rates have come down, hurdles have gone up. Rising default rates and bank losses have made lenders more risk-averse, leading to higher fees, increased insurance rates and difficulties refinancing loans.

     The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage dropped to

5.07 percent for the week ending Feb. 26 from 6.63 percent for the one ending July 24, according to data compiled by McLean, Virginia-based Freddie Mac. Meanwhile, the percent of mortgage applications that led to closings fell nationwide to 59 percent in the first half of 2008 from 66.3 percent in 2006, the most recent period for which data is available, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported.

To contact the reporter on this story:

James Sterngold in Los Angeles at +1-323-782-4254 or jsterngold2@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:

Alec McCabe at +1-212-617-4175 or amccabe@bloomberg.net

 

 Chicago Purchasers’ February Index Increases to 34.2 From 33.3

2009-02-27 14:45:31.834 GMT

By Bob Willis

 

     Feb. 27 (Bloomberg) — U.S. business activity contracted in February for a fifth consecutive month, a sign manufacturing is weakening as the recession extends into a second year.

     The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago Inc. said today its business barometer increased to 34.2 from 33.3 the prior month, when it reached the lowest reading since March 1982.

Readings below 50 signal a contraction.

     Companies including Deere & Co. and Ford Motor Co. are reducing investments and cutting staff as the worst credit freeze in seven decades pushes the economy into a deeper recession.

President Barack Obama is orchestrating a surge in federal spending programs while the Federal Reserve is flooding markets with cash to thaw credit.

     “Manufacturing is in the midst of a severe downturn,” Ryan Sweet, a senior economist at Moody’s Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania, said before the report. “Autos remain at the root of the troubles for Midwest manufacturers.”

     A government report today showed the U.S. economy shrank in the fourth quarter at the fastest pace since 1982 as consumer spending plunged, inventories dropped and exports sank. Gross domestic product contracted at a 6.2 percent annual pace from October through December, the Commerce Department said in Washington. Business investment fell at a 21 percent rate.

     Economists projected the Chicago purchasers index would drop to 33, based on the median estimate of 53 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. Forecasts ranged from 28.8 to 36.0.

To contact the reporter on this story:

Bob Willis in Washington at +1-202-624-1837 or bwillis@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:

Citi Gets Third Rescue

Citi Gets Third Rescue

Headline News and Market Report

Author: Randall Goltzman

Bond Market News and Perspective for Mortgage Professionals”

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

 

 The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 69.7 percent of total applications from 74.2 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 1.9 percent from 1.7 percent of total applications from the previous week.  The average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 5.07 percent from 4.99 percent, the average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 4.71 percent from 4.66 percent, and the average rate for one-year ARMs increased to 6.13 percent from 6.10 percent. Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey:   The Market Composite Index – 15.1%, Refinance Index -19.1 and the Purchase Index -2.6%.

January Existing-Home Sales Fall 5.3% in January, Inventory Down 2.7% to 3.60 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 9.6-month supply.  Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist said “The housing market will soon get a lift from very favorable buying conditions – not only from improved affordability, but also from the stimulus of an $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit, and higher conforming loan limits that will allow more people to tap into 50-year low mortgage rates.”  NAR estimates the impact of the stimulus package and lower interest rates on the housing market to be about 900,000 additional home sales in 2009 compared to conditions before the stimulus package.

Treasuries Little Changed Before Record $32 Billion Auction of five-year notes amid increasing concern U.S. borrowing is reaching unprecedented levels. Prices were mostly weaker in recent trade, with the 10-year Treasury note off 7/32 at a 2.83% yield and the long bond off 8/32 to a 3.51% yield. Comments Tuesday from the Fed chairman before the Senate Banking Committee that he does not believe any major banks are on the brink of failing, and that bank nationalization is not needed, spurred a stock market rally and helped knock Treasury prices lower. Wednesday, Mr. Bernanke is expected to deliver the same remarks to members of the House Financial Services Committee and will once again respond to questions.

Bernanke Spurns Outright U.S. Control of Banks in Rescue Plan in favor of a public-private partnership that the government would eventually exit. The Treasury will buy convertible preferred stock in the 19 largest U.S. banks if stress tests determine they need more capital to weather a deeper-than-forecast recession, Bernanke said yesterday. Investors Wednesday are also anticipating more details on the government’s stress tests for financial institutions. The government said earlier this week that stress tests for banks would begin on Wednesday. While there’s no official announcement scheduled, some market participants are speculating that Mr. Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner could refer to the tests Wednesday afternoon when they meet to discuss the need for financial regulatory reform.

.In Geithner We Trust Eludes Treasury as Market Fails to Recover While the Treasury secretary has given his initiative a new name, the Financial Stability Plan, it’s mostly an extension of TARP. The centerpiece is a $1 trillion Fed loan fund that will be used to induce hedge funds and buyout firms to purchase toxic assets from banks so they can begin lending again.  So far, banks have been unwilling to lower the asset prices enough to make them attractive to distressed debt investors. Geithner faces a conundrum: If banks trim prices, their losses will grow; if the government offers investors guarantees for assets whose value is impossible to calculate, taxpayers may pay a big price.  “It’s an incredibly difficult thing to do and to get right,” Geithner told Congress in January. “And getting it right will be central to the basic credibility of the program.”

.Bargain-Hunters Descend, Cash in Hand Falling home prices are spurring an increase in all-cash home sales in markets that have been hardest hit by the foreclosure crisis, an indication that bargain hunters have descended on the markets looking for deals.  In some cases, cash buyers are finding that they can get a deeper discount by making an all-cash offer. In markets with a glut of foreclosed homes, lenders are becoming more aggressive to sell “simply because there aren’t enough first-time home buyers around to sop up the excess supply,”

.Twin Crises Feed the Spiral  The recession and financial crisis are feeding on each other in ways that worsen both. The housing sector — which is at the core of the crises for both the economy and financial markets — also showed signs of worsening. The early causes of the housing contraction — oversupply, tightening lending — have been compounded by falling incomes and rising joblessness.

Fed Scrutinizes Bank Dividend Payouts as Losses Grow.The Federal Reserve is urging dozens of banks getting bailout funds to consider future loan losses and the need to bolster capital before paying dividends to shareholders. Banks also were warned to “inform the Federal Reserve reasonably in advance of declaring or paying a dividend that exceeds earnings for the period,” according to the letter.

 

Economic Calendar for upcoming releases:

Date

ET

Release

For

Actual

Prior

Feb 26

08:30 a.m.

Durable Goods Orders

Jan

 

-2.6%

Feb 26

08:30 a.m.

Durables, Ex-Tran

Jan

 

-3.6%

Feb 26

08:30 a.m.

Initial Claims

02/21

 

NA

Feb 26

10:00 a.m.

New Home Sales

Jan

 

331K

Feb 27

08:30 a.m.

GDP-Prel.

Q4

 

-3.8%

Feb 27

08:30 a.m.

Chain Deflator-Prel.

Q4

 

-0.1%

Feb 27

09:45 a.m.

Chicago PMI

Feb

 

33.3

Feb 27

10:00 a.m.

Mich Sentiment-Rev

Feb

 

NA

Mar 02

08:30 a.m.

Personal Income

Jan

 

-0.2%

Mar 02

08:30 a.m.

Personal Spending

Jan

 

-1.0%

Mar 02

10:00 a.m.

Construction Spending

Jan

 

-1.4%

Mar 02

10:00 a.m.

ISM Index

Feb

 

35.6

Mar 03

10:00 a.m.

Pending Home Sales

Jan

 

6.3%

Mar 03

02:00 p.m.

Auto Sales

Feb

 

NA

Mar 03

02:00 p.m.

Truck Sales

Feb

 

NA

Mar 04

08:15 a.m.

ADP Employment Change

Feb

 

-522K

Mar 04

10:00 a.m.

ISM Services

Feb

 

42.9

Mar 04

10:30 a.m.

Crude Inventories

02/27

 

NA

Mar 04

02:00 p.m.

Fed Beige Book

     

Mar 05

08:30 a.m.

Productivity-Rev.

Q4

 

3.2%

Mar 05

08:30 a.m.

Unit Labor Costs

Q4

 

1.8%

Mar 05

08:30 a.m.

Initial Claims

02/28

 

NA

Mar 05

10:00 a.m.

Factory Orders

Jan

 

-3.9%

Mar 06

08:30 a.m.

Average Workweek

Feb

 

33.3

Mar 06

08:30 a.m.

Hourly Earnings

Feb

 

0.3%

Mar 06

08:30 a.m.

Nonfarm Payrolls

Feb

 

-598K

Mar 06

08:30 a.m.

Unemployment Rate

Feb

 

7.6%

Mar 06

02:00 p.m.

Consumer Credit

Jan

 

-6.6B

Mar 10

10:00 a.m.

Wholesale Inventories

Jan

 

-1.4%

Mar 11

10:30 a.m.

Crude Inventories

03/06

 

NA

Mar 11

02:00 p.m.

Treasury Budget

Feb

 

NA

Mar 12

08:30 a.m.

Initial Claims

03/07

 

NA

Mar 12

08:30 a.m.

Retail Sales

Feb

 

1.0%

Mar 12

08:30 a.m.

Retail Sales ex-auto

Feb

 

0.9%

Mar 12

10:00 a.m.

Business Inventories

Jan

 

-1.3%

Mar 13

08:30 a.m.

Export Prices ex-ag.

Feb

 

NA

Mar 13

08:30 a.m.

Import Prices ex-oil

Feb

 

NA

Mar 13

08:30 a.m.

Trade Balance

Jan

 

-$39.9B

Mar 13

10:00 a.m.

Mich Sentiment-Prel

Mar

 

NA

Mar 16

09:15 a.m.

Capacity Utilization

Feb

 

NA

Mar 16

09:15 a.m.

Industrial Production

Feb

 

NA

Mar 17

08:30 a.m.

Building Permits

Feb

 

NA

Mar 17

08:30 a.m.

Core PPI

Feb

 

NA

Mar 17

08:30 a.m.

Housing Starts

Feb

 

NA

Mar 17

08:30 a.m.

PPI

Feb

 

NA

Mar 18

08:30 a.m.

Core CPI

Feb

 

NA

Mar 18

08:30 a.m.

CPI

Feb

 

NA

Mar 18

10:35 a.m.

Crude Inventories

03/13

 

NA

Mar 19

08:30 a.m.

Initial Claims

03/14

 

NA

Mar 19

08:30 a.m.

 

03/13

 

NA

Mar 19

10:00 a.m.

Leading Indicators

Feb

 

NA

Mar 19

10:00 a.m.

Philadelphia Fed

Mar

 

NA

Mar 23

10:00 a.m.

Existing Home Sales

Feb

 

NA

Mar 24

08:30 a.m.

Durable Orders

Feb

 

NA

Mar 25

10:00 a.m.

New Home Sales

Feb

 

NA

Mar 25

10:35 a.m.

Crude Inventories

03/20

 

NA

Mar 26

08:30 a.m.

Initial Claims

03/21

 

NA

Mar 26

08:30 a.m.

 

03/20

 

NA

Mar 27

08:30 a.m.

Personal Income

Feb

 

NA

Mar 27

08:30 a.m.

Personal Spending

Feb

 

NA

Mar 27

09:55 a.m.

Mich Sentiment-Rev

Mar

 

NA

 

The President is going to speak to the nation tonight. Expectation s are high. We the people are hoping to finally hear some good news from the speech tonight. The Mortgage Bonds are being purchased up every day, however the lenders/banks are not releasing the funds needed to refinance as well as new purchase money. Rates aretat a all time low of 4.75% on a 30 year fixed and as low as 4.25% on a 15 year fixed. Gas is still floating around $1.60 a gallon. We hope for the best from our President tonight.